“Oh, wow — another bank bailout, this time in Spain. Who could have predicted that?
The answer, of course, is everybody. In fact, the whole story is starting to feel like a comedy routine: yet again the economy slides, unemployment soars, banks get into trouble, governments rush to the rescue — but somehow it’s only the banks that get rescued, not the unemployed.”
Paul Krugman in the New York Times.
Soooooo the Spanish government is gonna give the big Spanish banks $125 billion to bail them out. Again.
This while forcing even more austerity measures down the throats of Spain’s citizens. Many of whom — almost 25% of the population at this point — are currently out of work.
Nobel Prize winning economist Joe Stiglitz has gone on record saying that this new bailout is gonna fail utterly and completely.
And Stiglitz is one of those guys who, along with Paul Krugman, has been pretty much right about pretty much every damn thing over the past ten years or so.
So let’s do a little thought experiment, shall we?
If the Spanish government were to take that $125 billion that they intend to piss down the toilet bailing out the banks {again!}, and instead took that money and gave it to the 5.6 million unemployed in their country — they would be able to give every single one of those unemployed people almost $25,000 dollars.
Or almost the equal of a year’s wages for the average Spaniard.
That’s money that those unemployed people would then be able to spend on shit like food, rent, clothing etc., and would act as an immediate and incredible stimulus to their moribund economy.
Because in Economics 101 you learn that every dollar spent on unemployment benefits puts almost $2 into the economy.
But the government will never do that because of a concept called “moral hazard”. Which is a concept meaning you don’t want to reward bad behavior. Because it begets more bad behavior.
And since most governments tend to view being unemployed as a moral failing they’d thus much rather bail out a bank — repeatedly — even though previous bailouts failed and will continue to fail {and even though the banks are wholly responsible for the mess they’re in and are even more subject to moral hazard than individuals} than do something constructive that will actually help the people they’re supposed to help.
Instead what the government is going to do is bail out the banks {again!} which will do nothing to help the economy and, even worse, the politicos who are bailing out the banks will accede to the demands being made by the European central bankers and the German government that they increase the austerity measures that their citizens are now suffering under.
Measures that have failed by every metric and will continue to fail and continue to not just damage the Spanish economy but bring unnecessary pain to the Spanish people.
And now I’m gonna tell you how this is all going to end — its going to end with people grabbing pitchforks and torches and with some form of improvised public hangings, that’s how.
Or at least that’s how it should end.
And the faster it happens the better off the Spanish people will be.